{"id":643,"date":"2008-04-14T08:54:51","date_gmt":"2008-04-14T12:54:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/thenonsequitur.com\/?p=643"},"modified":"2008-04-14T15:57:04","modified_gmt":"2008-04-14T19:57:04","slug":"crystal-balls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thenonsequitur.com\/?p=643","title":{"rendered":"Crystal balls"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Like his colleague David Brooks at the New York Times, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2008\/04\/14\/opinion\/14kristol.html?ref=opinion\">William Kristol<\/a> has been pretty much wrong about everything in the past several years (and probably before).&nbsp; But wrongness, when it happens, just doesn&#8217;t happen.&nbsp; There&#8217;s always a reason for it.&nbsp; So I believe now, at least.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m not going to <strong>explain <\/strong>the wrongness of William Kristol&#8211;he&#8217;s wedded to an incoherent ideology, for instance.&nbsp; I don&#8217;t know if that&#8217;s true, and besides I don&#8217;t have access to Kristol&#8217;s mental states.&nbsp; So if&nbsp; you read this and you&#8217;re a conservative, notice that I haven&#8217;t said &quot;conservatives are wrong in their core beliefs.&quot;&nbsp; Wrongness always happens in the particulars.&nbsp;  <\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;m interested in the wrongness of his reasons.&nbsp; To that end, let&#8217;s take a look at one or two.&nbsp; In today&#8217;s column, he opposes the following claims:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p> But it\u2019s one thing for a German thinker to assert that \u201creligion is<br \/>\nthe sigh of the oppressed creature.\u201d It\u2019s another thing for an American<br \/>\npresidential candidate to claim that we \u201ccling to &#8230; religion\u201d out of<br \/>\neconomic frustration.<\/p>\n<p> And it\u2019s a particularly odd claim for<br \/>\nBarack Obama to make. After all, in his speech at the 2004 Democratic<br \/>\nconvention, he emphasized with pride that blue-state Americans, too,<br \/>\n\u201cworship an awesome God.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>That&#8217;s obviously <strong>not <\/strong>a contradiction or some kind of less rigorous &quot;tension&quot; or &quot;inconsistency.&quot;&nbsp; As explanations go, Obama&#8217;s seems fairly innocuous.&nbsp; He&#8217;s clearly talking about a certain motivation for religion as distinct from say, God, the object of those religions.&nbsp; Attacking this weak version of Obama&#8217;s remarks is what you might call a &quot;straw man.&quot; <br \/>A little charity on Kristol&#8217;s part would help him see this.&nbsp; But I ask perhaps too much.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#8217;s another: <\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p> Then there\u2019s what Obama calls \u201canti-immigrant sentiment.\u201d Has Obama<br \/>\ndone anything to address it? It was John McCain, not Obama, who took<br \/>\npolitical risks to try to resolve the issue of illegal immigration by<br \/>\nputting his weight behind an attempt at immigration reform.<\/p>\n<p>\nFurthermore, <strong>some concerns about unchecked and unmonitored illegal<br \/>\nimmigration<\/strong> are surely legitimate. Obama voted in 2006 (to take just<br \/>\none example) for the Secure Fence Act, which was intended to control<br \/>\nthe Mexican border through various means, including hundreds of miles<br \/>\nof border fence. Was Obama then just accommodating bigotry?<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Anyone ought to be able to see the difference between criticizing &quot;anti-immigrant sentiment&quot; (which applies to both legal and&nbsp; immigrants) fomented by Kristol&#8217;s partners on the right and supporting &quot;<strong>unchecked <\/strong>and <strong>unmonitored <\/strong>illegal immigration.&quot;&nbsp;&nbsp; Being against the latter, of course, doesn&#8217;t make you for the former.&nbsp; This amounts to, I think, a kind of red herring.&nbsp; Concern about &quot;Illegal immigration&quot; bears only a slight resemblance to &quot;anti-immigrant sentiment&quot; of the &quot;bigotry&quot; variety.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Like his colleague David Brooks at the New York Times, William Kristol has been pretty much wrong about everything in the past several years (and probably before).&nbsp; But wrongness, when it happens, just doesn&#8217;t happen.&nbsp; There&#8217;s always a reason for it.&nbsp; So I believe now, at least. I&#8217;m not going to explain the wrongness of &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/thenonsequitur.com\/?p=643\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Crystal balls<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9,29,12,56],"tags":[127,108,111,1985],"class_list":["post-643","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-false-dichotomy","category-red-herring","category-straw-man","category-william-kristol","tag-immigration","tag-obama","tag-religion","tag-william-kristol"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thenonsequitur.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/643","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thenonsequitur.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thenonsequitur.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thenonsequitur.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thenonsequitur.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=643"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thenonsequitur.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/643\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thenonsequitur.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=643"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thenonsequitur.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=643"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thenonsequitur.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=643"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}